State of the Race: Six Nations – Round 4

This is it. One more round, and someone will lift the trophy. Let’s break it all down.

Who lifts the #GuinnessSixNations trophy this weekend? 🏆 pic.twitter.com/6oAiB4pDM2

— Guinness Six Nations (@SixNationsRugby) March 14, 2022

In Control

France

Remaining Schedule: v. England

In The Hunt

Ireland

Remaining Schedule: v. Scotland

Eliminated

England

Remaining Schedule: @ France

Scotland

Remaining Schedule: @ Ireland

Wales

Remaining Schedule: v. Italy

Italy

Remaining Schedule: @ Wales

Key Takeaways

• France and Ireland will finish first and second.
• England, Scotland, and Wales will fill the three, four, and five spots.
• Italy are guaranteed a sixth place finish.

Clinching Scenarios

• France will clinch the title with a win irregardless of Ireland’s result.
• If Ireland win, France could win the title with one of the following combinations:
  • A win
  • A bonus point draw
  • A pair of bonus points and tiebreakers
• If Ireland win with a bonus point, France could win the title with one of the following combinations:
  • A win
  • A bonus point draw with tiebreakers

Six Nations Tiebreakers

If two unions are level on points at the end of the Championship, the following tiebreakers are used. If teams are tied on the first tiebreaker as well, The Championship will continue down the list until a tiebreaker favors one side.

1. Total points differential
2. Number of tries scored
3. Teams will share the position